Altruistic-Loophole
0x6445ce99b73fa731a8cd209aedf20d3328ca4ec0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-687.46
Realised
$24.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
942 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-399.74
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
635 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.10
- YES
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
480 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-48.79
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
227 shares @ 58.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-132.13
- NO
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Tuesday?
110 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-46.50
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?
106 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.24
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$10.00Apr 10, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dittman tweet less than 60 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$4.20Jan 5, 01:28 UTC
- REWARD$0.12Jan 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dittman tweet less than 60 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$3.50Jan 4, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLYoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$54.83Jan 4, 04:40 UTC
- REWARD$0.26Jan 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?$13.53Jan 3, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$18.00Jan 3, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$14.00Jan 3, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$0.75Jan 3, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$0.75Jan 3, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$0.15Jan 3, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$7.04Jan 3, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$1.49Jan 3, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLYoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$24.15Jan 3, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$8.40Jan 3, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend Jimmy Carter's state funeral?$3.55Jan 3, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$0.84Jan 2, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$0.84Jan 2, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$0.84Jan 2, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.