Excitable-Reclamation
0x6447335bc45adb163ce8c66f0c034b2877d66d83
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$58.30
Total PnL
$35.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?
24 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$24.00
$13.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
23 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$23.35
$14.71
- OILERS
Oilers vs. Avalanche
11 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$10.95
$6.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$8.64Mar 26, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Avalanche$4.27Mar 10, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?$10.32Mar 8, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?$35.46Mar 3, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?$27.66Feb 26, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.2KFeb 16, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.2KFeb 16, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 1?$0.00Feb 12, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Pelicans$0.00Feb 12, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMBlue Jackets vs. Devils$24.02Feb 12, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Pelicans$5.07Feb 11, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jackets vs. Devils$12.25Feb 3, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9AM ET$20.92Feb 1, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 1?$9.14Jan 30, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9AM ET$10.67Jan 26, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 17, 12AM ET$24.53Jan 26, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 17, 12AM ET$12.34Jan 16, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9?$0.00Jan 9, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9?$0.74Jan 8, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $206.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 15:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.