Parched-Windshield
0x645d92af8145a19c4f5b9c2ad2ba009643ca3205
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-103.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 10?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 April 20-26?
975 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4?
933 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 21?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March?
420 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on November 27?
299 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 3?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
100 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Next US strike on Syria on December 17?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$117.12Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$117.01Jun 4, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 26?$117.12May 26, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 26?$117.01May 25, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$116.35May 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$116.02May 22, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$116.23May 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$116.02May 19, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$116.12May 19, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$116.01May 9, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?$9.01May 9, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 7?$107.21May 9, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 7?$107.01May 7, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?$9.00May 7, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$116.12May 7, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$116.01May 3, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$115.35May 3, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$115.02Apr 29, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?$115.21Apr 29, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?$115.00Apr 25, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $85.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.