Famous-Freighter
0x64627a31f1637aff415b840f62e83946341c8c42
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$14.51
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-969.23
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$14.51
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 20?
2000 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-527.37
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 2?
1280 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 8?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 17?
1080 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-285.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?
1040 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 20?
1000 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-264.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2?$14.50Aug 1, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8?$91.18Jun 23, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8?$91.01Jun 8, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$91.18Jun 8, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$91.01Jun 2, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$91.09Jun 2, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$91.01May 23, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$91.09May 23, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$91.00May 19, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?$91.09May 19, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?$91.00May 13, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?$91.09May 13, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?$91.01May 7, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$91.18May 7, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$91.01May 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$90.09May 5, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$90.00Apr 27, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 24?$90.08Apr 27, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 24?$90.00Apr 23, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 19?$90.17Apr 23, 13:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $75.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 10:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.