Dependable-Phrase
0x646408b6057e82cfa1e17fb7cb56db08a64ba7c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
157
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-371.53
Realised
$-9.75
Win rate
0%
157 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?
282 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 8?
269 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 24?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on July 9?
194 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 3?
173 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 2?
135 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 5?
130 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?
124 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 22?
121 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 4?
114 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 14?$1.44Jul 12, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on July 12?$1.00Jul 12, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 14?$1.77Jul 12, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C or higher on July 14?$1.18Jul 12, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?$2.02Jul 12, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 13?$1.33Jul 12, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 12?$1.33Jul 12, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 30°C or higher on July 12?$1.01Jul 12, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 12?$1.00Jul 12, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?$0.85Jul 12, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?$0.23Jul 12, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 12?$0.15Jul 12, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 13?$0.13Jul 12, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 12?$1.33Jul 12, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 13?$1.41Jul 12, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 12?$1.43Jul 12, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 13?$1.59Jul 12, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?$1.29Jul 12, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 13?$2.14Jul 12, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C on July 12?$1.86Jul 12, 12:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 157 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
157 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 12:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 157 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.