Glorious-Socialist
0x646aff4987524f2edd88c7b65cdbe42b48a9f194
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$162.16
Total PnL
$-36.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
159 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$159.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
2055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.08
$-1.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 26?
2400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
2351 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 20?
2300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 28?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,900 November 17-23?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$159.01May 14, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$4.32May 14, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$164.16May 11, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$164.01May 11, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$163.16May 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$163.01May 6, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.17May 6, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.17May 6, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.20May 6, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.24May 6, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.25May 6, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$157.16May 6, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$157.01Apr 30, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.19Apr 30, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?$156.14Apr 30, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?$156.00Apr 26, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 22?$152.14Apr 26, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.17Apr 22, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 22?$152.00Apr 22, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.17Apr 22, 02:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $77.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 06:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".