International-Essence
0x646d2d74b2a00be8029cdd0809134fa008b89387
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
17 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
13 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?
13 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?
11 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.26
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
9 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Antonio Ecarri Angola Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Javier Bertucci Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$0.05Jun 15, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.23Apr 15, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the N-VA win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$1.52Apr 15, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?$0.01Feb 5, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?$0.01Feb 5, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?$0.01Feb 5, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$0.01Nov 30, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$0.02Nov 29, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$0.01Nov 29, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Patrick Pizzella for Labor Secretary?$0.01Nov 9, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?$0.01Nov 9, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?$0.01Nov 9, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trey Hendrickson win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?$0.01Nov 9, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leicester City be relegated?$0.01Nov 9, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton be relegated?$0.01Nov 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Chad Wolf for Homeland Security Secretary?$0.01Nov 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? $0.01Nov 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?$0.01Nov 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?$0.01Jun 9, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?$0.01Jun 9, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 12:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 12:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.