0x646e679b049619666c3bf0a40e56d89b0f985eda
0x646e679b049619666c3bf0a40e56d89b0f985eda
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-33.92
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- MAGIC
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$5.00
$2.60
- YES
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
34 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?
20 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
12 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?
11 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
10 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?
9 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
9 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$5.88Mar 27, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$4.55Mar 27, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?$0.00Mar 27, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?$5.00Mar 27, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.05Mar 24, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$0.05Mar 23, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?$0.08Mar 23, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.00Mar 22, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.07Mar 22, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.24Mar 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.48Mar 22, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.66Mar 22, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.30Mar 22, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 22?$1.29Mar 22, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$0.00Mar 22, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$0.00Mar 22, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.08Mar 22, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.33Mar 22, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$0.27Mar 22, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?$0.43Mar 22, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $0.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".