Separate-Authorisation
0x64705629ea0c93ed728c8cc818637fca6faf6c00
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-175.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
453 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.43
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in August?
196 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Manchester United beat Grimsby Town F.C?
156 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?
120 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.60
- YES
Will Primoz Roglic win the Tour de France 2025?
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?
114 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-32.99
- YES
Will Primož Roglič finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?
103 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$3.01Dec 14, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$3.83Dec 14, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$3.81Dec 14, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$3.08Dec 14, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$9.21Dec 14, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$2.62Dec 14, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$2.52Dec 14, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$2.52Dec 14, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$2.52Dec 14, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$2.62Dec 14, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$3.33Dec 14, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$3.84Dec 14, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$3.53Dec 14, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.67Dec 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$5.00Dec 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.39Dec 14, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.42Dec 14, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.42Dec 14, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$3.28Dec 14, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$3.38Dec 14, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.