Free-Manufacturing
0x6475311b0e6f4ed1981977458426f1857df95f32
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$35.97
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
963 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-178.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
588 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
539 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-27.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
511 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-44.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$14.00Mar 5, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$11.60Mar 5, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$30.00Mar 4, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$30.74Mar 4, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$60.00Mar 4, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$14.00Mar 4, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$16.30Mar 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$4.43Mar 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$20.00Mar 3, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$8.74Mar 3, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$20.00Mar 3, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$25.00Mar 3, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$5.00Mar 3, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$10.00Mar 3, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$20.00Mar 3, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$2.00Mar 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$6.00Mar 3, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$6.00Mar 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$10.00Mar 2, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$122.69Mar 2, 23:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $19.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".