Late-Tell
0x647c3bb72d6c3b313c35006341ba636b3ed61524
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-368.92
Realised
$-105.96
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?
186 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 12?
142 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 16-22?
141 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-38.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 10?
126 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?
101 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 15?
96 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.28
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 26?
90 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 29?
79 shares @ 96.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-76.12
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 13?
79 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.57
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
75 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 25?$216.18Jul 25, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 25?$0.47Jul 24, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 25?$214.20Jul 24, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 10?$2.02Jul 9, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?$4.15Jul 7, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2?$231.11Jun 2, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2?$229.03Jun 1, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Microsoft" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$24.50Jun 1, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 26?$242.77May 26, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26?$3.33May 26, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 26?$241.31May 25, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 4?$29.76May 25, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 18?$229.21May 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 18?$0.64May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 18?$226.97May 17, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 29?$41.17May 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 12?$2.43May 12, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$150.00May 11, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$147.90May 10, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 19?$193.16May 10, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $87.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 07:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.