Novel-Bob
0x648c1b713d6dbccdb11dde75229f9627b8d3d256
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$25.2K
Total PnL
$17.4K
Realised
$-531.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
24204 shares @ 1.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$24.2K
$23.8K
- NO
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?
1000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$1.0K
$400.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
14000 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-509.17
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
7957 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-233.61
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5?
3200 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-887.11
- NO
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
2115 shares @ 82.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
1969 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-789.53
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?
1000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?
1000 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-610.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?
1000 shares @ 83.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-837.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.8KJan 1, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$2.1KJan 1, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$7.5KJan 1, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$16.4KJan 1, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$385.00Oct 28, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$2.7KOct 8, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$85.40Sep 29, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$218.73Sep 29, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$516.52Sep 29, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$205.04Sep 29, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Security" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$200.00Sep 29, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$370.00Sep 29, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?$700.00Sep 17, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$365.22Sep 17, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$255.50Sep 17, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$13.80Sep 17, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Security" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$144.00Sep 17, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Commonwealth" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$170.30Sep 17, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$1.2KSep 17, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "War" during 9-11 memorial event?$410.00Sep 15, 03:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $318.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 12:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".