Vigilant-Admire
0x648d245468543ffbc4c01f33f73120d22281a87c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$53.49
Total PnL
$-197.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 27-November 2?
40 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$40.00
$18.40
- YES
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
13 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$13.49
$1.75
- 120K
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?
127 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
88 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-43.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 26?
70 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- SEVASTOVA
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anastasija Sevastova vs Maya Joint
62 shares @ 78.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-48.54
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 27?
50 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-13.55
- NO
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?
28 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- MAROZSAN
Rolex Paris Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknech
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$11.74Dec 19, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?$10.13Dec 19, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CZ return to Binance by December 31?$1.11Dec 19, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$0.50Oct 29, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$1.89Oct 27, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?$0.80Oct 27, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anastasija Sevastova vs Maya Joint$15.76Oct 27, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anastasija Sevastova vs Maya Joint$22.78Oct 27, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anastasija Sevastova vs Maya Joint$10.00Oct 27, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Paris Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknech$10.00Oct 27, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLJiangxi Open: Wushuang Zheng vs Yulia Starodubtseva$13.20Oct 27, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiangxi Open: Wushuang Zheng vs Yulia Starodubtseva$10.00Oct 27, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLRolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Marcos Giron$14.14Oct 27, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?$10.00Oct 27, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 27?$4.14Oct 27, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 27-November 2?$21.60Oct 27, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Marcos Giron$10.00Oct 27, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 27?$0.27Oct 27, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 27?$6.16Oct 27, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 27?$0.27Oct 27, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $25.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 20:15 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 14:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".