Waterlogged-Transaction
0x648f08129272acd665dbee5a3846e1ebb098c097
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$11.99
Total PnL
$-77.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bologna win on 2025-09-25?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$6.17
$1.17
- NO
Will Brann win on 2025-09-25?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$5.81
$0.81
- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
387 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will FCSB win on 2025-09-25?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NUGGETS
Lakers vs. Nuggets
11 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-09-25?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Panathinaikos win on 2025-09-25?$5.00Sep 25, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna win on 2025-09-25?$5.00Sep 25, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brann win on 2025-09-25?$5.00Sep 25, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FCSB win on 2025-09-25?$10.00Sep 25, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Pelicans$11.83Jun 3, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$35.00Mar 22, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$20.00Mar 9, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMNets vs. 76ers$0.00Feb 23, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Jazz$0.00Feb 23, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-02-22?$0.00Feb 23, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham win on 2025-02-22?$9.30Feb 23, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brighton win on 2025-02-22?$9.64Feb 23, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-02-22?$8.00Feb 22, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-02-22?$8.00Feb 22, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-02-22?$8.00Feb 22, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Jazz$8.00Feb 22, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nuggets$8.00Feb 22, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. 76ers$8.00Feb 22, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?$1.00Feb 22, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 14-21?$0.00Feb 22, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $7.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 25, 06:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".