Surprised-Article
0x6491bc1d38a8715d5eccd066c57602af697b74b2
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
38
Open notional
$810.54
Total PnL
$-234.15
Realised
$2.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
2639 shares @ 7.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$145.12
$-47.87
- NO
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
90 shares @ 72.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$83.40
$18.40
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
358 shares @ 23.8¢·now 21.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$76.90
$-8.10
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
74 shares @ 67.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$74.05
$24.05
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
56 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$55.80
$15.80
- NO
X banned in any European country by December 31?
90 shares @ 49.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.82
$8.82
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$46.50
$21.50
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
45 shares @ 82.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.48
$-1.52
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
78 shares @ 38.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$30.75
$0.75
- NO
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
44 shares @ 56.8¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$24.66
$-0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$5.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.0010h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.2510h ago
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.8410h ago
- TRADESELLWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?$6.9310h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.0010h ago
- YIELD$0.0016h ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$10.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?$2.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?$5.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$5.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$10.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$10.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.002d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $7.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 15d ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.