Surprised-Article
0x6491bc1d38a8715d5eccd066c57602af697b74b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-53.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
4886 shares @ 6.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$366.46
$38.63
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
201 shares @ 66.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$115.58
$-18.42
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
499 shares @ 21.9¢·now 22.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$109.86
$0.47
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
446 shares @ 25.3¢·now 24.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$107.11
$-5.89
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
432 shares @ 23.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$88.60
$-11.40
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
411 shares @ 27.7¢·now 21.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$88.33
$-25.55
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
166 shares @ 30.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$40.71
$-9.29
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$32.00
$7.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
78 shares @ 38.5¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.91
$-4.09
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
75 shares @ 33.4¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$19.76
$-5.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$0.70Jun 12, 11:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$5.07Jun 11, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$5.16Jun 11, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$5.03Jun 11, 21:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$10.30Jun 9, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$10.30Jun 9, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$10.28Jun 9, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$20.55Jun 9, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$25.76Jun 9, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.16Jun 9, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$41.50Jun 9, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$30.91Jun 9, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$15.22Jun 9, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$20.57Jun 9, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$15.42Jun 9, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $13.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.