Infantile-Patch
0x649f935bd35b06ad680d97ecc69740a3a410fd8d
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.86
Total PnL
$-3.66
Realised
$-1.51
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
8 shares @ 35.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$2.76
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 7?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$1.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
31 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.76
$-0.02
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
54 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.57
$-0.03
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.52
$-0.02
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.52
$-0.02
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
40 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.50
$-0.23
- YES
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?
114 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.28
$-0.06
- YES
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
9 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.20
$-0.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 7?$18.308m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 7?$19.9711m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 7?$3.0027m ago
- TRADESELLWill Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.3238m ago
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$0.201h ago
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?$0.811h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 8, 2026?$2.401h ago
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?$0.131h ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?$0.031h ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?$19.981h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?$19.922h ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?$49.202h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?$49.152h ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?$2.002h ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?$49.202h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?$49.152h ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?$0.162h ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?$0.692h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?$0.802h ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?$49.102h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $14.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4h ago
- Last active
- 8m ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
