Jittery-Terrarium
0x64a3b63a9e3a304cbf6f39e62325fe35493940ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-39.82
Win rate
13%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
4338 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
523 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.79
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
255 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7AM ET
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
150 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
147 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
125 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$6.63Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.26Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.75Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.91Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.39Jun 12, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.04Jun 12, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.61Jun 12, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$3.95Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$4.96Jun 12, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$16.12Jun 12, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$4.91Jun 12, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$9.25Jun 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$4.97Jun 12, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$4.69Jun 12, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.21Jun 12, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.15Jun 12, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.52Jun 12, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.22Jun 12, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$3.71Jun 12, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.98Jun 12, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
31 closed markets, 13% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 04:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.