Ethical-Fedelini
0x64b43c065ab1ea5de60a166e5fa6698b52475010
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$106.49
Total PnL
$-1.66
Realised
$-1.07
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
52 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.12
$1.12
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
32 shares @ 74.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$32.15
$8.11
- LEARNER TIEN
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddy
23 shares @ 64.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$23.22
$8.24
- NIP
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
31 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-18.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddy$18.00Apr 2, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$32.00Apr 2, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs$19.91Apr 2, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Yibing Wu$0.00Apr 2, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-18?$0.00Apr 2, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Joao Fonseca$0.00Apr 2, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.01Apr 2, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machac$22.06Apr 2, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrin$24.59Apr 2, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Martin Damm vs Jacob Fearnley$31.25Apr 2, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Joao Fonseca$10.88Mar 18, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Yibing Wu$15.00Mar 18, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrin$15.00Mar 18, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Martin Damm vs Jacob Fearnley$15.00Mar 18, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machac$15.00Mar 18, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-18?$15.00Mar 18, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$0.00Mar 18, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 18, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$0.00Mar 18, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Ducks$0.00Mar 18, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $12.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.