Famous-Lemon
0x64d17c088793ba38a8b80a3ab6cc14375f0f9cdc
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$143.52
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
187 shares @ 79.9¢·now 76.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$143.52
$-5.89
- YES
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
6715 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
5580 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
2875 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-721.05
- YES
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
2850 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-691.13
- YES
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
2375 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-795.63
- NO
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?
520 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$136.63Jul 28, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8.79Jul 28, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.04Jul 28, 17:57 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.65Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$5.1KJul 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$92.65Jul 19, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1.6KJul 19, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. England end in a draw?$45.46Jul 18, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$595.40Jul 18, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$822.08Jul 15, 16:04 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.12Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$2.1KJul 14, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$2.9KJul 12, 04:32 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.68Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$2.9KJul 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$801.78Jul 11, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$775.70Jul 11, 07:36 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$717.30Jul 10, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$246.36Jul 9, 16:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $528.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.