Willing-Begonia
0x64d18744b9e4f7f1aeaa94ce6540e5f6b40389a1
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$218.82
Total PnL
$-5.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 4?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 4?
5 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 4?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 4?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 5?
5 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 4?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 4?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 4?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 4?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 4?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 4?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 4?$5.013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 5?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 5?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 5?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on May 5?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on May 5?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on May 5?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 5?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on May 5?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 5?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 5?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 5?$5.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C on May 5?$5.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 5?$5.014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 5?$5.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 5?$5.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 5?$5.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 5?$5.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 4?$5.014h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".