Unacceptable-Alteration
0x64d2b3311e3bf373a8be67790149a39d4da5fc29
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$35.03
Total PnL
$-5.44
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
7 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
6 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.10
$0.10
- NO
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Baidu have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.29
$0.03
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 94.3¢·now 89.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.06
$-0.05
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.56
$-5.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 20-26?$5.00Jul 27, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 25?$5.00Jul 25, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 24?$4.00Jul 24, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 23?$3.00Jul 23, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 22?$2.00Jul 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 20-26?$5.00Jul 22, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 25?$5.00Jul 22, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 24?$4.00Jul 22, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 23?$3.00Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 22?$2.00Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$0.45Jul 22, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.84Jul 22, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$7.01Jul 21, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$6.01Jul 17, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$5.00Jul 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?$4.00Jul 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.00Jul 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$6.01Jul 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.00Jul 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$7.00Jul 13, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $8.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 04:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.