Legal-Shootdown
0x64e71eff39f022eeb60ea2ed5047ffab9a3dfc5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.2K
Realised
$487.31
Win rate
92%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
30000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-776.97
- TITANS
Titans vs. 49ers
8000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-960.00
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
7460 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.3K
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
5000 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- COWBOYS
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
4000 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
4000 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
3500 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
3000 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-863.33
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
3000 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
3000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.23Jun 28, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$8.07Jun 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$2.3KJun 26, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$44.75Jun 26, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$12.41Jun 26, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$10.00Jun 26, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$770.42Jun 26, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$14.44Jun 26, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$3.00Jun 26, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$3.00Jun 26, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$5.68Jun 26, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$4.24Jun 26, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$18.62Jun 26, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$3.88Jun 26, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$780.00Jun 26, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$120.00Jun 26, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$3.00Jun 26, 05:18 UTC
- REWARD$2.37Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$5.1KJun 19, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$99.98Jun 19, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $681.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 22:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.