Occasional-Demur
0x64f6f0e2639d480f9b3237db614c47fdd2e9557f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$59.67
Total PnL
$-602.01
Realised
$9.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 2.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$42.50
$18.50
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
613 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$17.17
$-13.76
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
809 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.18
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
52 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 9?
29 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on April 9?
20 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 9?
20 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
12 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMBarra FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5$3.30Apr 26, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarra FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5$1.71Apr 22, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 13?$2.90Apr 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on April 10?$4.55Apr 10, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on April 10?$2.10Apr 10, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 9?$2.16Apr 10, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 9?$1.73Apr 9, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 9?$0.40Apr 9, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on April 9?$0.10Apr 9, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 9?$0.60Apr 9, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 9?$2.20Apr 9, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.04Apr 9, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.56Apr 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.13Apr 8, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.00Apr 8, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.00Apr 8, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.00Apr 8, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.07Apr 8, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.07Apr 8, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.29Apr 8, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 19:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".