Deserted-Causal
0x64fa63d03175961c33a64f786f049572109261d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.27
Realised
$6.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?
1550 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-17.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 21 at 5PM ET?
67 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 20 at 5PM ET?
60 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 20 at 5PM ET?
50 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
- METS
Mets vs. Phillies
15 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.35
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Thunder
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YANKEES
Yankees vs. Blue Jays
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.65
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
2 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYYankees vs. Blue Jays$1.05Jun 30, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYYankees vs. Blue Jays$1.60Jun 30, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?$3.00Jun 25, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$2.56Jun 23, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$1.50Jun 23, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMAngels vs. Yankees$13.47Jun 23, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$8.40Jun 23, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$1.30Jun 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$2.50Jun 23, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Thunder$1.30Jun 23, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMets vs. Phillies$0.85Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMets vs. Phillies$0.75Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMets vs. Phillies$0.75Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?$2.20Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?$8.80Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?$2.10Jun 21, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?$15.00Jun 21, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 21 at 5PM ET? $1.13Jun 21, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 21 at 5PM ET? $1.32Jun 21, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMPadres vs. Dodgers$0.00Jun 20, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 23:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".