Impressive-Misreading-Snack
0x650e5e0de31ea5a9d4afc5c963df9b010ebf1936
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-59.78
Realised
$3.44
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
67 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - July 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?
24 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
23 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
BNB Up or Down - July 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJulián Álvarez: 2+ shots on target AND Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target AND Lionel Messi: 2+ shots on target AND Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots on target$0.30Jul 15, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.06Jul 15, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.05Jul 15, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down - July 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.42Jul 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.02Jul 15, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.42Jul 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.06Jul 15, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.04Jul 15, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$3.21Jul 15, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$3.14Jul 15, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.07Jul 15, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.07Jul 15, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.04Jul 15, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.04Jul 15, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.78Jul 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.04Jul 15, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.16Jul 15, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.04Jul 15, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.07Jul 15, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.05Jul 15, 06:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 10:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.