Mad-Material
0x650f586f0e59a9209048b33b1e1a5864f2f4f73f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$12.82
Total PnL
$-885.74
Realised
$0.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.82
$2.82
- YES
Bitcoin above $114K on August 25?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,500 and $115,000 on September 11 at 4PM ET?
182 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 30 at 5PM ET?
134 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on July 25?
117 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-44.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
117 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on August 26?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on August 2?
97 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on July 25?
86 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-34.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - September 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$11.76Oct 13, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by December 31?$50.00Oct 12, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$6.00Sep 26, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$6.00Sep 26, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 7AM ET$5.00Sep 26, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on September 27?$10.35Sep 26, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 26?$6.00Sep 26, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 27?$6.00Sep 26, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 22?$12.64Sep 22, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 22?$22.02Sep 22, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 22?$9.00Sep 22, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 22?$10.00Sep 22, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 22?$5.00Sep 22, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 22?$5.00Sep 22, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?$31.86Sep 19, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?$42.27Sep 19, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$9.20Sep 19, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $113,500 and $114,000 on September 11 at 4PM ET?$12.20Sep 19, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,400 and $4,425 on September 11 at 4PM ET?$15.00Sep 11, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $114,500 on September 11 at 4PM ET?$97.42Sep 11, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $27.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 5, 14:37 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 13, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".