Baggy-Beyond
0x6511f00856fe1cf1788a3dd6b80bf87e60455f44
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-719.20
Realised
$23.65
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- UNDER
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
3116 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-28.04
- OVER
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
907 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-255.64
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- OVER
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
189 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.59
- OVER
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
155 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.60
- OVER
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
151 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-39.02
- OVER
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
150 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- OVER
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
148 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.85
- OVER
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 Corners
141 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-65.74
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?$0.00Jul 11, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?$0.03Jul 10, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$1.05Jul 10, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 Corners$5.50Jul 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?$1.67Jul 10, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?$2.43Jul 10, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$4.66Jul 10, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?$36.15Jul 10, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$5.00Jul 10, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 Corners$0.07Jul 10, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 Corners$6.03Jul 10, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?$3.13Jul 10, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 Corners$66.67Jul 9, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$3.00Jul 9, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 15?$14.26Jul 9, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 15?$18.30Jul 9, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 15?$18.30Jul 9, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 15?$22.43Jul 9, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$33.64Jul 9, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$4.80Jul 8, 21:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 01:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 01:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.