Surprised-Juggernaut
0x65158a5fac7c693428a6fbbfcfdf183d48a93d8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.4K
Realised
$-229.69
Win rate
33%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
999 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-64.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
998 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-71.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
998 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-97.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1AM ET
891 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-273.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
734 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-196.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
598 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-59.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
598 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-80.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
597 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-260.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
592 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-351.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
562 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-69.77
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$34.67Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$29.82Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$69.15Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$17.41Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.70Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.48Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$17.67Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.58Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$21.54Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$60.65Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$22.16Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$11.06Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$20.63Jun 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.71Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.17Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$38.25Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$51.68Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$22.82Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$43.43Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.53Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.