Quick-Witted-Luck
0x651c1f90eb7a218405e8098411cf54fe6213af8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$17.03
Total PnL
$-0.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.77
$0.05
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.76
$0.01
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.59
$0.06
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.59
$0.03
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.53
$0.03
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.49
$0.09
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.43
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.37
$0.03
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.27
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.50Dec 25, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.40Dec 25, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.15Dec 25, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.72Dec 25, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.53Dec 25, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.76Dec 25, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.25Dec 25, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.56Dec 25, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.43Dec 25, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.34Dec 25, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$2.00Dec 25, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on December 15?$278.00Dec 23, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on December 15?$139.00Dec 14, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$1.12Dec 14, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5400 in October?$1.14Dec 14, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on October 31?$1.19Dec 14, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?$1.22Dec 14, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?$1.58Dec 14, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$2.13Dec 14, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.14Dec 14, 03:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 07:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 25, 01:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.