Hilarious-Highland
0x652b35ad10148a4bd76541271f4a9b84109dcba0
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$26.32
Total PnL
$0.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
12 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$12.13
$0.13
- NO
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
4 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$4.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$4.02
$0.02
- NO
Arsenal wins the Premier League?
3 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$3.11
$0.11
- NO
U.S. recession before May 2025?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$3.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. recession before May 2025?$3.00Apr 25, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$3.00Mar 25, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$12.00Mar 25, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.00Mar 25, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$2.22Mar 25, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill StepFun have the top AI model on February 28?$5.52Mar 25, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?$7.01Mar 25, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?$9.18Mar 25, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?$9.16Feb 6, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?$4.00Feb 6, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?$7.00Feb 6, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill StepFun have the top AI model on February 28?$5.50Feb 6, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill $Trump FDV be $5-7b on inauguration day?$5.00Feb 6, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$6.01Feb 6, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $5-7b on inauguration day?$5.00Jan 20, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$6.00Jan 20, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?$0.86Jan 20, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?$1.00Jan 20, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.90 before December?$1.01Jan 20, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?$1.13Jan 20, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $501.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.