Hard-Boat
0x652bff901f401f22b2da47ad1c5c4b5870b3f5c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$131.75
Realised
$286.95
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
706 shares @ 58.4¢·now 80.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$566.32
$153.73
- YES
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
240 shares @ 74.3¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$189.69
$11.30
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
716 shares @ 39.6¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$132.53
$-151.07
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
5108 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$129.75
$-31.92
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
265 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.97
$3.97
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
116 shares @ 88.8¢·now 71.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$83.24
$-19.99
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
500 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.00
$5.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
200 shares @ 53.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$63.00
$-44.88
- YES
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
111 shares @ 10.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.41
$23.31
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
475 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.01
$-9.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.41Jun 14, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.69Jun 14, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.73Jun 14, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.73Jun 14, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$21.27Jun 14, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.73Jun 14, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.93Jun 14, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.57Jun 14, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$98.88Jun 14, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$7.50Jun 14, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?$6.60Jun 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$75.00Jun 13, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$1.9KJun 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$0.43Jun 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$1.7KJun 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$72.00Jun 13, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?$27.36Jun 13, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$83.15Jun 13, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$11.72Jun 13, 04:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.59Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $92.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.