Beautiful-Obligation
0x652efcde631c4f78b1078d2fac1eebe7a1d54a94
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.52
Total PnL
$-308.48
Realised
$-87.62
Win rate
39%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao?
23 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.52
$0.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
4459 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1832 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.32
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 48 million views on day 3?
1118 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
370 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.35
- YES
Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
302 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
201 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
155 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.24
- YES
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
155 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao?$0.02Jun 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao?$0.12Jun 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao?$0.02Jun 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao?$0.28Jun 14, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco?$0.30Jun 13, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco?$0.15Jun 13, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco?$0.07Jun 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco?$0.11Jun 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$0.17Jun 12, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$0.47Jun 12, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa?$0.12Jun 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$0.19Jun 11, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.00Jun 11, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa?$1.08Jun 11, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 140-159 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.23Jun 11, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Korea Republic (-2.5)$0.51Jun 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.06Jun 11, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.44Jun 11, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.55Jun 11, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.75Jun 10, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.