Simplistic-Dissemination
0x653e167b75263746632e5ef59e02c8266b69dc70
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
650 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?
133 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
21 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- YES
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil settle at $70–$80 on April 8?$0.00Apr 10, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil settle at <$70 on April 8?$0.00Apr 10, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.00Apr 8, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil settle at $70–$80 on April 8?$1.00Apr 8, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil settle at <$70 on April 8?$1.00Apr 8, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.00Apr 8, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.00Apr 8, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$5.00Apr 8, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Apr 8, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.00Apr 8, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?$1.00Apr 8, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 5?$3.00Apr 5, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 2, 2026?$2.50Apr 5, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 2, 2026?$5.00Apr 5, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.00Apr 5, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$9.19Apr 5, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.00Apr 5, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.00Apr 5, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.