Sparkling-Immigration
0x6540eaeb83ae33b216b62a96e9e45300a6926597
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$200.33
Total PnL
$-309.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
56 shares @ 71.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.28
$14.28
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
43 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$43.10
$3.10
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
27 shares @ 74.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$26.70
$6.70
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$22.73
$2.73
- YES
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$22.22
$2.22
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
21 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$20.64
$0.64
- YES
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
11 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$10.66
$0.66
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
690 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
155 shares @ 96.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
39 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$12.00Mar 8, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$20.00Mar 8, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?$20.00Mar 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$20.00Mar 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Mar 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$20.00Mar 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$10.00Mar 8, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$20.00Mar 8, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$150.00Mar 8, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $20.39Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.66Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$21.19Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$21.28Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$21.51Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Toretske by January 15?$21.98Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMNegative GDP growth in 2025?$38.04Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$40.90Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?$42.11Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$44.44Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $20.00Jan 6, 23:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $28.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 21:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 19:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.