Vapid-Poultry
0x65471b6f84bd78b3d7aae7e9a5ab3a07e03d8043
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?
2120 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-863.68
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?
1480 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-768.98
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?
1279 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-637.70
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?
1050 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-372.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?
776 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-331.74
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in July?
440 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-52.80
- YES
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?
300 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?
230 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?
176 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-49.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in December?$149.08Jan 30, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.0KJan 30, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$596.89Jan 30, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.91Jan 30, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.19Jan 30, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$0.52Jan 30, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$32.40Jan 8, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$334.80Dec 26, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$352.00Dec 26, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$691.91Dec 25, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$578.50Dec 21, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$200.00Dec 21, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?$20.00Dec 21, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$500.00Dec 21, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in November?$1.20Dec 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?$114.86Dec 18, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $153.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 05:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 11:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.