High-Level-Metaphor-Substance
0x654d53dce0a3a5ddfe624c3dfa74a6847e297c6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-141.49
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
659 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-365.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
600 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-334.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
500 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-266.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
400 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-217.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
400 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-213.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
380 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-186.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
374 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-166.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
317 shares @ 81.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-257.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
310 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-160.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
300 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-155.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$8.71Jul 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$2.51Jul 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$4.57Jul 23, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$83.61Jul 23, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$56.73Jul 23, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$288.55Jul 23, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$6.47Jul 23, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$3.13Jul 23, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$3.15Jul 23, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$3.15Jul 23, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$52.38Jul 23, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$500.00Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$8.24Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$89.18Jul 23, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$45.29Jul 23, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$97.00Jul 23, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$381.33Jul 23, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$81.33Jul 23, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.11Jul 23, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.11Jul 23, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $70.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 06:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.