Untrue-Probability
0x654e288ec5dc5960589a52f34e639d5f8137a669
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$131.58
Total PnL
$-222.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
132 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$131.58
$31.58
- YES
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
185 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2024$0.00
$-151.70
- NO
Solana flips ETH in daily fees in July?
150 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-102.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$100.00Jul 16, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana flips ETH in daily fees in July?$17.50Jul 16, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana flips ETH in daily fees in July?$84.95Jul 16, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$151.70Jul 16, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina wins Copa America 2024?$459.06Jul 16, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina wins Copa America 2024?$299.52Jul 14, 23:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $130.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 23:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 01:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".