Direct-Analgesia
0x655cfdb07874f3f8a53486989f805aa7c99d4420
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$152.69
Total PnL
$-69.89
Realised
$10.16
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 20?
65 shares @ 76.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$40.30
$-9.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?
80 shares @ 45.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$31.60
$-4.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 20?
70 shares @ 45.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$28.35
$-3.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 20?
70 shares @ 38.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$23.80
$-2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 20?
40 shares @ 33.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$8.60
$-4.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 20?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$6.90
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 20?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$5.30
$-3.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$3.55
$-1.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 20?
24 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$3.12
$-0.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 18?
1 shares @ 59.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.65
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 20?$49.40Aug 18, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 20?$4.08Aug 18, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 19?$1.27Aug 18, 10:55 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?$49.99Aug 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?$6.68Aug 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?$3.40Aug 18, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?$0.82Aug 18, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 20?$8.00Aug 18, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?$42.50Aug 18, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?$14.24Aug 18, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 20?$31.50Aug 18, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?$1.12Aug 18, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 19?$4.77Aug 18, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 19?$2.00Aug 18, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?$40.01Aug 18, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?$9.20Aug 18, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 20?$48.30Aug 18, 09:04 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 20?$76.78Aug 18, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 20?$23.80Aug 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 20?$6.00Aug 18, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 11:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.