Kosher-Blade
0x6562131e1531471bc75ada1aaeac30bc2df692dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$15.45
Total PnL
$-4.62
Realised
$-1.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
3 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Ren Lin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.05
$0.01
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: November
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Underground Pyramid structures confirmed by peer review?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Stephen Chidwick win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.58
$0.00
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD?
2980 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ren Lin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$293.82Nov 12, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: November$2.00Nov 11, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$3.00Nov 11, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ren Lin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$297.45Nov 11, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Chidwick win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$300.14Nov 11, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Chidwick win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$302.59Nov 11, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD?$3.00Nov 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.19Nov 11, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.00Sep 24, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Sep 24, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Sep 24, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Sep 24, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?$0.97Sep 24, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel cancelled by September 30?$1.13Sep 24, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Sep 24, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$1.05Sep 24, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.12Sep 24, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?$4.69Sep 24, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?$1.00Sep 22, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel cancelled by September 30?$1.00Sep 22, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $36.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 08:07 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 05:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.