Alarmed-Superiority
0x65715f73126a969f810b4c6207e684a152ee21a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$25.06
Total PnL
$-20.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$20.06
$0.06
- YES
TikTok banned in 2025?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.51
$1.51
- YES
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
1 shares @ 13.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$1.49
$1.29
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?
28 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Los Angeles Clippers?
28 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2025$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?
16 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$5.00Jan 8, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$10.00Jan 8, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.30Jan 8, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in 2025?$2.00Jan 8, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.00Jan 8, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?$30.06Jan 8, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?$0.11Dec 23, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$0.13Dec 23, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hakeem Jeffries be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$0.12Dec 23, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?$30.00Dec 23, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?$20.00Dec 23, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Butler get traded to the Los Angeles Clippers?$0.11Dec 23, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Butler get traded to the Phoenix Suns?$0.20Dec 23, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Butler get traded to the Dallas Mavericks?$0.20Dec 23, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Butler get traded to the Houston Rockets?$0.10Dec 23, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?$0.25Dec 23, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?$0.25Dec 23, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?$0.25Dec 23, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $0.50Dec 23, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$0.20Dec 23, 05:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 05:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".