Thick-Communicant
0x6576975123865941ea5e46ef66d4e4b63771e240
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$9.40
Total PnL
$-1.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 23?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 13.9¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- K27
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - DraculaN Group B
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- VP.PRODIGY
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- REKONIX
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.02Jun 23, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.02Jun 23, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$2.02Jun 23, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - DraculaN Group B$1.01Jun 23, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$0.70Jun 22, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.01Jun 22, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.12Jun 22, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.00Jun 22, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?$1.00Jun 22, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 23?$1.01Jun 22, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$1.03Jun 22, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$1.00Jun 22, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$1.01Jun 22, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Jun 22, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$2.09Jun 22, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.06Jun 22, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.03Jun 22, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.05Jun 22, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 22, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$0.00Jun 22, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 06:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.