Discrete-Orchard
0x65776bb4ddc84c2df49b24c030e0a91540c14401
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.88
Total PnL
$-185.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.88
$-2.13
- YES
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
4400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
2489 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
1983 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
1001 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4AM ET$0.00Mar 9, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$0.00Mar 9, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$1.00Mar 9, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 7?$0.00Mar 8, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 7?$0.00Mar 8, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Mar 8, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel on March 3?$0.00Mar 8, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 6, 2026?$0.00Mar 8, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?$0.00Mar 8, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4AM ET$2.49Mar 8, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$2.50Mar 8, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.00Mar 8, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.00Mar 8, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.00Mar 8, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.00Mar 8, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.00Mar 8, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $10.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".