Possible-Norm
0x65901a067543f70719c6f3dff198b02731ad26e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Marius Gierse win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$402.56Nov 14, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marius Gierse win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$402.97Nov 14, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on November 14?$1.00Nov 14, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120K July 28–August 3?$1.00Oct 2, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$1.00Oct 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 4?$1.00Oct 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$102.27Oct 2, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$102.37Oct 2, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$102.37Oct 2, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$102.48Oct 2, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$102.47Oct 2, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$102.58Oct 2, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$1.00Sep 17, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$97.77Sep 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$97.87Sep 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$97.87Sep 17, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$97.97Sep 17, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$1.01Aug 3, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?$1.01Aug 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K July 28–August 3?$1.00Aug 3, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $77.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 06:54 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.