Cruel-Bowtie
0x6598eaceefc41cd980df08abdc28a8e4cd648ab9
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.46
Total PnL
$-4.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 17?
292 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.46
$0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
15 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
6 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 17?$1.50May 15, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$0.00May 15, 23:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.53Apr 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$121.42Apr 27, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$127.52Apr 27, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$12.10Apr 27, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$0.03Apr 27, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$2.86Apr 27, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$7.50Apr 27, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$0.81Apr 27, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$0.45Apr 27, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$10.33Apr 27, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$2.78Apr 27, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$2.61Apr 27, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.04Apr 27, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.04Apr 27, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.04Apr 27, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.04Apr 27, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.46Apr 27, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.09Apr 27, 00:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $99.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".