Unhappy-Vampire
0x65a3fbc92b2fe7ac5ba3e856153477bcf20de615
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-817.21
Realised
$-72.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?
578 shares @ 65.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-380.43
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
566 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-270.02
- YES
Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?
412 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-78.28
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
52 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$111.25Mar 30, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$80.00Feb 28, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMBOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?$5.00Jan 12, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$266.00Jan 1, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$54.41Dec 7, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$558.00Nov 18, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$53.00Nov 18, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on July 31?$5.00Aug 10, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$39.31Aug 10, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS release any tracks in 2025?$28.85Jul 15, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS release any tracks in 2025?$14.55Jul 15, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS release any tracks in 2025?$9.70Jul 14, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS release any tracks in 2025?$8.94Jul 14, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS release any tracks in 2025?$13.70Jul 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS release any tracks in 2025?$60.89Jul 14, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS release any tracks in 2025?$32.65Jul 14, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS release any tracks in 2025?$25.72Jul 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS release any tracks in 2025?$57.60Jul 11, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS release any tracks in 2025?$8.43Jul 11, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTS release any tracks in 2025?$65.41Jul 11, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $63.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 03:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.