Poised-Tavern
0x65a8b92a05b53423ade2601b4b4a3ab4f1d66da5
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
77
Open notional
$273.32
Total PnL
$-17.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 4?
60 shares @ 12.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$11.10
$3.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?
15 shares @ 36.7¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$6.22
$0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 4?
15 shares @ 25.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$6.15
$2.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 4?
75 shares @ 6.9¢·now 8.1¢·exp May 4, 2026$6.04
$0.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 4?
15 shares @ 27.3¢·now 38.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.70
$1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 4?
21 shares @ 16.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.57
$2.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 4?
36 shares @ 12.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.22
$0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 4?
15 shares @ 34.7¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$4.95
$-0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 4?
11 shares @ 34.8¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$4.91
$0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 4?
15 shares @ 27.4¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$4.88
$0.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 4?$1.3915m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 4?$1.4015m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 4?$1.4015m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 4?$1.2515m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 4?$1.2515m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 4?$1.2515m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?$1.552h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?$1.552h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?$1.492h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 4?$1.792h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 4?$1.812h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 4?$1.822h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 4?$1.152h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 4?$1.382h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 4?$1.152h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 4?$1.503h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?$1.963h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?$1.963h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on May 4?$2.563h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 4?$1.603h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9h ago
- Last active
- 15m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".