Woeful-Migration
0x65bc50b882f481fb8f3622054d7060a050ccbdc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$91.42
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
500 shares @ 21.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$52.50
$-52.50
- YES
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1910 shares @ 5.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.42
$-66.58
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.50
$-5.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
8817 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Solana all time high by March 31, 2026?
4567 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-199.34
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
2969 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?
2771 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-199.60
- YES
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
2244 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?
2138 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high by June 30, 2026?$50.00Mar 21, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by June 30, 2026?$50.00Mar 21, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high by June 30, 2026?$50.00Mar 21, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$50.00Mar 21, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$50.00Mar 18, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high by June 30, 2026?$50.00Mar 18, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by June 30, 2026?$50.00Mar 18, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high by June 30, 2026?$50.00Mar 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by March 31, 2026?$99.60Jan 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high by March 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 21, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$100.00Jan 21, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high by March 31, 2026?$42.59Jan 18, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$19.50Jan 18, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$105.00Jan 18, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$11.00Jan 18, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?$14.00Jan 16, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?$8.60Jan 16, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high by March 31, 2026?$99.34Jan 11, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$100.00Jan 11, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by March 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 11, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $60.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.