Jubilant-Spending
0x65c4153de06e2a99889f0dade70741ae62677ea4
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.42
Total PnL
$-907.60
Realised
$-2.03
Win rate
1%
152 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
11 shares @ 18.4¢·now 16.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?
6 shares @ 37.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$1.68
$-0.62
- YES
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SUSSEX
T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussex
51 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-27.51
- UNDER
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5
44 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-22.09
- UNDER 3.5
Hugo Gaston vs. Gael Monfils: Total Sets O/U 3.5
42 shares @ 60.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$3.85Aug 20, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5$3.33Aug 20, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?$3.45Aug 19, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In$2.53Aug 19, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group$3.39Aug 19, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$3.64Aug 19, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 15,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?$2.17Aug 18, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs$3.28Aug 18, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMThailand vs. Singapore: O/U 2.5$3.64Aug 18, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage$3.45Aug 18, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMPrague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat$3.33Aug 18, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMPrague 2: Filip Jianu vs Andrej Martin$3.45Aug 18, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In$1.55Aug 18, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.04Aug 18, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.04Aug 18, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs$2.04Aug 18, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.04Aug 18, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group$2.04Aug 18, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group$2.04Aug 18, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.04Aug 18, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 152 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
152 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 20:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 152 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.