Major-Passing
0x65d45d1454cadae706511ec883cfb2d8ab0fb7e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$13.1K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-23.86
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
4922 shares @ 84.7¢·now 88.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$4.4K
$186.26
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
2998 shares @ 83.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.7K
$213.55
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?
1581 shares @ 85.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.5K
$155.23
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?
941 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$918.59
$118.59
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
822 shares @ 87.3¢·now 95.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$787.88
$70.89
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
877 shares @ 57.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$609.65
$109.65
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
733 shares @ 68.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$487.49
$-12.51
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
500 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.3¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$461.25
$46.25
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
438 shares @ 68.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$365.52
$65.52
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $48 in August?
324 shares @ 84.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$287.92
$13.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$337.08Aug 16, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$64.00Aug 16, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$218.06Aug 16, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$217.39Aug 15, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$100.40Aug 15, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$100.40Aug 15, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$51.88Aug 15, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?$228.00Aug 14, 14:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.78Aug 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$500.00Aug 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1000.00Aug 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$202.79Aug 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$500.00Aug 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$850.00Aug 13, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$1.0KAug 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$1.0KAug 13, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $48 in August?$24.27Aug 13, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $48 in August?$252.67Aug 13, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$121.43Aug 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$500.00Aug 12, 23:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $359.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.