Medium-Eyelids
0x65e0a4338628a23fe22dbe3f6af39a6b9808b6a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Seychelles win on 2025-10-10?
204 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.57
- NO
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lesotho win on 2025-10-10?
88 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-10-10?
55 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will São Tomé e Príncipe win on 2025-10-10?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-10-10?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Seychelles vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dominican Republic win on 2025-10-10?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will South Sudan win on 2025-10-10?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$5.00Oct 10, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Spirit vs FaZe (BO3)$5.00Oct 10, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seychelles win on 2025-10-10?$1.57Oct 10, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win on 2025-10-10?$1.00Oct 10, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill São Tomé e Príncipe win on 2025-10-10?$1.00Oct 10, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Sudan vs. Senegal end in a draw?$1.00Oct 10, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Sudan win on 2025-10-10?$1.00Oct 10, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seychelles win on 2025-10-10?$1.00Oct 10, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seychelles vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$1.00Oct 10, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seychelles win on 2025-10-10?$1.00Oct 10, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lesotho win on 2025-10-10?$1.00Oct 10, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zimbabwe win on 2025-10-10?$1.00Oct 10, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lesotho win on 2025-10-10?$2.00Oct 10, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liechtenstein win on 2025-10-10?$1.00Oct 10, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominican Republic win on 2025-10-10?$2.00Oct 10, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$1.38Oct 10, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$2.00Oct 10, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$5.00Oct 10, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs FaZe (BO3)$5.00Oct 10, 08:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.